(100) Derma Sotogake 8. Photo: Keeneland Photo/Photos by ZInto Mischief colt Talladega consigned as Hip 76 at theKeeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale, Hes just a lovely horse, said Tom Clark, who signed the ticket. Overall, we can only hope Justifys ownership group races him in at least three more Grade 1 races for the benefit of the sport. The conditions for the 1968 Californian stated the following: 3-year-olds 113 lbs. I thought the price was fair, Wade said. 84 Codys Wish (1) TOP 10 IN THIS WEEKS NTRA TOP THREE-YEAR-OLD POLL Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes) 1. He made that burdensome impost seem like a feather, winning in splendid isolation by 10 lengths. Its when a 3-year-old makes his or her final start before the Kentucky Derby that I can determine their number of strikes in the DSS. Dr. Fager finished second. According to handicapper Andrew Beyer, inventor of the Beyer Speed Figure, the average winner of the fillies-only Kentucky Oaks is five lengthsor one secondslower than the average Kentucky Derby winner. He attributes his love for horse racing to two things: his grandfather who used to listen to horse races on the radio broadcasted from the now defunct Ak-Sar-Ben race track in Omaha, Nebraska and a Sports Illustrated subscription in the 1970s. Fortes declining Beyer Speed Figure pattern piqued my curiosity. ( 46) Blazing Sevens 18. Count Fleet (1943), Assault (1946), Citation (1948), Secretariat (1973), Seattle Slew (1977), Affirmed (1978), American Pharoah (2015 . The same information is included for the trainer. If so, the second half of this years racing season will be captivating and give us information for comparing these two great colts. Although this isnt the Golden Era of horse racing we experienced in the 1970s, its feeling pretty close. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. The points are listed below (if two or more horses have the same number of points, the tiebreaker is earnings in non-restricted stakes race): Rank (Points) Horse 1. Perhaps this class would be viewed better had McKinzie not been injured and taken off the Derby Trail. 22 Cherry Wine are also eligible horses who get into the Derby only if another horse scratches before 9 a.m. Friday. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, 2023 Kentucky Derby Odds: Forte Favored To Win Run For The Roses, 2022 Kentucky Derby Picks: Forte Favored To Take Run For The Roses, 2023 Kentucky Derby Sleepers: Looking for Live Longshots, Kentucky Derby Contenders: Forte Favored, But Watch Out For Derma Sotogake. Winners of $65,000 twice since September 1, 1967 to carry 3 lbs. This sale is a great initiative and it is well supported.. Just a big, classy horse, a lovely horse.. This points out horses who were running strongly at the eighth pole, usually in races at 1 1/16 or 1 1/8 miles. Everything you need to know about placing an online bet, Here's your complete guide to the 2023 race, Who has won the most Kentucky Derby races and other facts you should know, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. American Pharoah, February 2 California Chrome, February 18 Orb, February 24 I'll Have Another, April 1 Animal Kingdom, March 20 Super Saver, March 18 . I wondered, Has any Kentucky Derby winner during the Beyer Speed Figure era had a declining pattern in his final three starts prior to the Run for the Roses, a la Forte? The Beyer Speed Figures were first published in Daily Racing Forms Kentucky Derby past performances in 1992. That race worked as a prep for the stake, said Donk. KENTUCKY DERBY POINT STANDINGS With all the races offering qualifying points now completed, the prospective field for the Kentucky Derby has taken shape. The Triple Crown winner notched a career-high 120 Beyer Speed Figure in his final race while also setting a Keeneland track record time of 2:00.07 for the rarely used 1 1/4-mile distance. These figures may also be part of the reason pedigree being another undefeated Nyquist probably wont be a prohibitive favorite Saturday. Disarm finished third, 4 1/4 lengths behind Arabian Lion. Also, American Pharoah's success as a son of Pioneerof the Nile recently led to a doubling of the horse's stud fee from $60,000 in 2015 to $125,000 in 2016. TRK. On the top right is a breakdown of a horse's career statistics, broken down by year as well as how it has fared on different surfaces. Mandarin Hero 10. 2 to No. paid $240,000 for Ocean City, a 3-year-old colt by American Pharoah , who is a half brother to champion Jackie's Warrior and on April 20 at Keeneland scored a 1 1/4-length . Street Sense recorded a 108 Beyer when he won the BC Juvenile by 10 lengths at Churchill Downs in his final start as a 2-year-old. What does this mean for those of us planning on visiting the betting window Saturday? 171 Clairiere 6. It was difficult to determine how much weight a horse was supposed to carry. ( 45) Jaces Road 22. Kueber Racing, Big Easy Racing, and Martin Schwartz paid $400,000 for Promise Me a Ride, a 3-year-old son of Masterywho won his career debut in March at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots. But Medina Spirit was disqualified due to testing positive for traces of betamethasone, a medication that is legal to use but not on race day. Maybe well have a horse for the Saudi Cup next year. 91 In Italian 10. His speed was very deceiving because he had such a smooth stride. Dr. Fagers lone defeat in 1968 came when he packed 135 pounds and spotted five pounds to familiar foe Damascus in the 1 1/4-mile Brooklyn Handicap. The New York Racing Association encourages responsible wagering. I think speed figures have become one of the biggest jokes in horse racing, Dale Romans, trainer for Blue Grass Stakes winner Brodys Cause, said Wednesday. Forte 6. He was a very energetic horse. (100) Kingsbarns 9. Well, it turned out that Nerud was right. Timeless Journey, by Verrazano, defeated fellow Empire State-breds in the March 12 Biogios Rose at the Big A two starts back in her first stakes conquest. THE NOT A GELDING CATEGORY. A jockey's statistics at the track are listed beside their name: their number of starts, followed by first-, second- and third-place finishes; the final number is the jockey's winning percentage. Its purpose is to try and identify those horses having the best chance to win the Kentucky Derby from BOTH tactical and historical perspectives. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. By the top of the stretch, Flightline won an all-out war with Life Is Good, and then he still dominated the field late as though the battle did not tire him. Philip Gleaves, Steven Crist, Ken deRegt and Bryan Hilliard's New York-bred Thin White Duke and Gleaves, Joseph Straus, Jr., and Hugh Fitzsimons' Yes and Yes both made their seasonal debut in an April 13 optional claimer sprinting six furlongs over the Aqueduct outer turf, finishing a respective fifth and fourth with off-the-pace trips. The track is abbreviated and the number in the exponent is the race number that day (there are typically multiple races at a track on a given day). I interviewed Baeza in 2006 at Santa Anita. 209 Art Collector (6) 4. The BRIS figures are mostly automated, while Beyer Speed Figures rely on human input and judgment calls. But the stewards disqualified Maximum Security and placed him 17th for committing a foul when he veered out sharply nearing the five-sixteenths marker to cause interference to War of Will, Bodexpress and Long Range Toddy. American Pharoah won nine of his 11 races. The 2015 class had better times and/or speed figures at this point of the season. This is listed above a horse's past performances. The eight categories are listed further below in this blog. For context: The highest BSF since he created the system . Since Emblem Road (by Quality Road) won the Saudi Cup, they are fans of Quality Road. It was a very fast course over there that day and it was a good steppingstone. Practical Move posted a 100 Beyer when he won Santa Anitas Grade II San Felipe Stakes by 2 1/2 lengths at 1 1/16 miles on March 4. The fact that only one of the last 31 Kentucky Derby winners went into the race with a declining Beyer Speed Figure pattern similar to Fortes is, to me, a big red flag for Forte. Download Today's Edition Even though she seems like she would go a one-turn mile just fine, I think we just stick to what we know for now and then explore down the line.. Frequently Asked Questions. website is for entertainment purposes only. Privacy Policy | Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. Clearly, the fastest horse of the weekend was Knicks Go, winner of the Breeders' Cup Classic. The mile is still a bit of a question mark, Handal said. According to the DSS, excluding the Kentucky Derby of 2020 when the race was run in September, 83% of the Kentucky Derby winners (40 out of 49) have had zero strikes or one strike going back to 1973. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. According to Bob Heberts Californian recap in The Blood-Horse magazine, Nerud thought that Dr. Fager would be carrying 124 pounds. And if you go by those numbers, this years Derby field is not exactly a distinguished crop. The list is below: 1. Although there have been some grumblings that the 2018 sophomore class is not up to snuff with more recent classes, I think this is a great class but, admittedly, I dont think its as good as American Pharoahs in 2015. Last year, American Pharoah, he was exceptional. They are Reincarnate and Kingsbarns. Thin White Duke, Yes and Yes target $150K Elusive Quality. Dortmound ran a 106 to win last years Santa Anita Derby; Exaggerator a 103 this year. This years entries yet to earn a 95: Gun Runner, Suddenbreakingnews, Whitmore, Oscar Nominated, Shagaf, Toms Ready, Majesto, Trojan Nation, Mo Tom and, yes, the Romans-trained Brodys Cause. Tapit Trice wins the 2023 Toyota Blue Grass (G1) Watch on Braulio Baeza rode Dr. Fager in the Washington Park Handicap and in all of the headstrong 4-year-old colts other races that year other than his 1968 debut in which John Rotz was the pilot. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Angel of Empire 5. But he could punch a hole in the wind. 4. (The horse made at least one start as a 2-year-old.) the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Daily Racing Form publishes the par Beyer Speed Figure for most classes, and such pars are based on years of raw time data. Thats if you go by the Beyer Speed Figures, the calculations put forth by the writer, longtime horse player and numbers savant Andrew Beyer published by the Daily Racing Form. The NFL Draft is here. He had zero strikes. Barbara D. Livingston Justify, under Mike Smith, wins the Belmont Stakes to become the 13th Triple Crown winner and remain unbeaten after six starts. The 149th Kentucky Derby (G1) presented by Woodford Reserve will be run on Saturday, May 6, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. It was exactly what I wanted. When they did that, they found a mistake had been made. When it comes to the 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby, this years field has a major case of the slows. His 1:32 1/5 clocking shaved two-fifths of a second off the world record for one mile set by Buckpasser two years earlier at Arlington. THE NO ADDING OR REMOVING BLINKERS CATEGORY. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. This is a great sale to find a horse with potential. Kentucky Derby trivia:Who has won the most Kentucky Derby races and other facts you should know. Fager set and tied records from seven furlongs to a mile and a quarter, slashing the world mile mark to 1:32 1/5 en route, Hatton wrote. John Clay: 859-231-3226, jclay@herald-leader.com, @johnclayiv, Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC/Three Chimneys, Twin Creeks/Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Robert LaPenta/Harry Rosenblum/Southern Springs, William Pacella, Frank L. Jones Jr. and Frank Shoop. (123) Two Phils 6. Philip Gleaves, Steven Crist, Ken deRegt and Bryan Hilliards New York-bred Thin White Duke and Gleaves, Joseph Straus, Jr., and Hugh Fitzsimons Yes and Yes both made their seasonal debut in an April 13 optional claimer sprinting six furlongs over the Aqueduct outer turf, finishing a respective fifth and fourth with off-the-pace trips. Only once from 1992 to the present has a Kentucky Derby winner had a declining Beyer pattern similar to Fortes. Those 20 points are all that First Mission has earned, which are not early nearly enough to get into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. (A) denotes race on all-weather surface. American Pharoah had to battle better talent (in my opinion) in Dortmund, Frosted and Keen Ice. Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. Justifys main competition has really come from two colts: Bolt dOro and Good Magic. The Beyer Speed Figure (more on that below) is the bold number. This came after she started a half-beat slow and raced through traffic during the early stages. kentucky derby 2016 results chartrestaurant marketing manager resume. It was more of a thank you for Keeneland for all these years of being kind to me.. Racing over a fast main track, Arabian Knight covered 7 furlongs in 1:21.98 to generate an eye-catching 97 Beyer Speed Figure. MY KENTUCKY DERBY TOP 10 There are no changes to my Kentucky Derby Top 10 from last week. He has produced. 5 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 last week, I wrote for Xpressbet.com that unlike fellow [Todd] Pletcher trainees Kingsbarns and Tapit Trice, Fortes Beyers are going into the wrong direction. I pointed out that after Forte registered a 100 Beyer in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, he ran a 98 in the Fountain of Youth, then slid further down to a 95 in the Florida Derby. Since Justify did not race as a 2-year-old, we really need to focus on their 3-year-old campaigns and, more specifically, their Grade 1 stakes races. Location: Southeastern PA. Posts: 3,037. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. Churchill Downs lists six other possibilities, all hoping for a defection or defections from the current 20-horse field. Skinner 8. And his speed figures have also improved with every race to the point where his Thoro-Graph number in the Withers has not been topped by any 3-year-old. noting the San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby ranked among the fastest Road to the Kentucky Derby qualifiers from a Beyer and Brisnet speed figure perspective. Damascus won by 2 1/2 lengths. Then study the distances the horse has run and the track conditions in the next column. DR. FAGER AND THE 1968 CALIFORNIAN The Grade II Californian Stakes will be run this Saturday (April 22) at Santa Anita. This year, the winners of 14 Kentucky Derby preps averaged a 93.4 Beyer. I feel pretty blessed to see both race live and anxiously await Justifys next race. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridgling Peaceful Waters, who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race . This sale is really evolving, and there is a lot of energy and enthusiasm surrounding it. 5 triple digit Beyer Speed Figures in 2018. Based on an . So their best speed figures are yet to come. clare buckley grange hill; herschel walker campaign office phone number All information provided by this A Derby rule meant that a horse needed to have done this or that, or not done this or that, in order to win the Kentucky Derby. The 6 1/2 furlongs we know she can do. Espinoza's up to 19th in earnings for jockeys at $185,008,725. American Pharoah's Preakness: 102 Beyer Speed Figure, 100 BRIS Speed Figure Justify's Preakness: 97 Beyer Speed Figure, 98 BRIS Speed Figure. TOP 10 IN THIS WEEKS NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes) 1. Since making their published debut in 1991, Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. The effort was awarded an 87 Beyer Speed Figure. Some believe they are nothing but empty numbers. THE RACED AS A 2-YEAR-OLD CATEGORY. +. It just depends on which ones you look at, Romans said. "It would entail a lengthy search to find a better representative of the Thoroughbred breed Justify exudes power In two starts at Aqueduct Racetrack, the gelding won his career debut in February and was second in an April 6 allowance race. As for Kentucky basketballs future roster construction, pardon the mess. I know Yes and Yes has a big affinity for Belmont, so it will be fun to get them back over here.. Handal added that Jorge Vargas, Jr., aboard for the Gazelle victory, would most likely retain the mount for the Oaks. McKinzie was viewed as the early Derby favorite at the time of his injury and Bob Bafferts best 3-year-old. We were looking for a (son of) Quality Road for racing in Saudi Arabia, Lanz said. But for now, Justify would rank in my top 25 American thoroughbreds of all-time by virtue of his Triple Crown championship. it is a grade i race run over a distance of 9.5 furlongs ( 1. (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the only exceptions have been Kauai King in 1966, Sea Hero in 1993, Charismatic in 1999, Giacomo in 2005 and Mine That Bird in 2009.) I dont know if any horse could ever have beaten him up to a mile. ( 64) Raise Cain 10. Bred by Hibiscus Stables, Funny How is a half-sister to multiple New York-bred stakes winner Funny Guy. Tapit Trice 4. Donk said it is special to train both Thin White Duke and Yes and Yes, who moved to his barn last spring when their previous conditioner, co-owner Gleaves, retired from training. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. If you look at his racing trend he is due for another big 100-plus Beyer, a speed figure that indicates he could be tough to beat. 8. . Justify made it look easy. beyer speed figures 2022 why does wilbur soot have two spotify accounts why does wilbur soot have two spotify accounts The eight Kentucky Derby winners with two strikes were Cannonade (1974), Ferdinand (1986), Sea Hero (1993), Funny Cide (2003), Giacomo (2005), Justify (2018), Country House (2019) and Rich Strike (2022). You just have to be the fastest horse in the race on Saturday. (In either of his or her last two starts before the Kentucky Derby, the horse was first or second with a furlong to go.) HORSE. The morning line is the opening odds for each horse in a specific race. 53 Confidence Game, watch Dr. Fagers victory in the 1968 Californian on YouTube, Jon White: Beyer Figures vis-a-vis the Kentucky Derby. Three big races in five weeks. Theres different ways to look at that, I think, said trainer Chad Brown, who has Shagaf and My Man Sam in this years race. By running strongly at the same point in the Kentucky Derby, a horse would be in a prime position to win the roses. ELiTE, agent, consigned the colt, who is from the family of leading sire Distorted Humor. Donk said the race was a good starting point for both horses. The client liked him. ARE DECLINING BEYERS A BIG DEAL? 6. As I see it, another negative for Forte in the Kentucky Derby is hes been unable to be first or second a furlong out in both of his last two starts. I dont think it matters for Duke, but the biggest thing that will probably help him is if he gets pace. Carpe Diem ran a 102 to win last years Blue Grass Stakes; Brodys Cause a 91 this year. A win in the Travers Stakes, something American Pharoah did not accomplish, would be nice as well. (The horses finish position in both of his or her last two races before the Kentucky Derby was no worse than his or her running position at the eighth pole.) The Beyer Speed Figure for American Pharoah's BC Classic: 120 American Pharoah disposed of Effinex, Tonalist started to back up, and the Triple Crown winner began to extend his lead. He was a little bit hard to control. Justify has four Grade 1 wins to date. We looked at his videos. (The horse has not added blinkers or had blinkers removed in his or her final start at 3 before the Kentucky Derby.) The field of 20 at this time is comprised of the the 19 leading point earners, plus Continuars invitation through the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. It was a last-minute call. American Pharoah won by a similar margin in 2015 to complete an almost perfect 3-year-old season. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is mount st helens visitor center. Because of the neck margin, both Tapit Trice and Verifying earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure, according to Daily Racing Form. Real-time updates and all local stories you want right in the palm of your hand. His highest weight that year and in his career was the 139 pounds he carried to a six-length victory in the seven-furlong Vosburgh Handicap, which was his final start. sort by # sire name Stud Fee $ 90+. Commissioner Dan, who was consigned by Matejka Racing, agent, is out of winner Miss Livona, by Dixie Union. Knowing how to decipher the form can make you a more informed bettor. Is the horse good at long distances or only used to shorter tracks? Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklins Promiseher America recorded her final serious piece of work in preparation for the Grade 1, $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks on May 6 at Churchill Downs, when going a half-mile in 49.77 seconds over a fast Belmont Park training track. Its not fair to compare horses.. "As a 2-year-old in training he did cost $2.3 million, so he. Promiseher America was a third-out maiden winner going a one-turn mile on February 19 at the Big A before providing trainer Ray Handal with his first graded stakes triumph when capturing the Grade 3 Gazelle on April 8 the final local Oaks prep by a half-length. MY DERBY STRIKES SYSTEM I developed my Derby Strikes System (DSS) back in 1999. That one horse was 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who like Forte was the Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male champion. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. 253 Angel of Empire 5. I will state up front that Justify has much more to accomplish to elevate himself above American Pharoah. Study the splits generally measured in quarter-mile increments but sometimes starting at a half mile depending on the length of the race after that. ( 40) Mandarin Hero 26. Justify first attracted attention with a win in his debut race on February 18, 2018. And so on. Following a three-quarter length victory against a salty allowance optional claiming group on Thursday at Aqueduct Racetrack, Colts Neck Stables stakes-winner Nothing Better could return to New York later this summer for the Grade 1, $400,000 Jaipur on June 10 at Belmont Park, according to trainer Jorge Duarte, Jr. Lord Miles, trained by Saffie Joseph, Jr. and piloted by Paco Lopez, returned a whopping $120.50 for his 59-1 upset score in Saturdays Grade 2, $750,000 Wood Memorial presented by Resorts World Casino, at Aqueduct Racetrack. Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher, who will saddle Repole Stable and St. Elias Stables formidable multiple Grade 1-winner Forte in the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby on May 6, will also bring a strong contender for Repole Stable to the May 5 Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks in the New York-bred Gambling Girl. He produced a career best 120 Beyer Speed Figure-the top Beyer recorded this year and the highest ever recorded for a 3 year-old at a distance 1 1/4 mile or greater since Beyer Speed Figures were first recorded in 1993. . American Pharoah had to battle better talent (in my opinion) in Dortmund, Frosted and Keen Ice. 103 Secret Oath 8. (invite) Continuar* 21. Also on the work tab for Handal was Merrylegs Farms New York homebredTimeless Journey, who went a half-mile in 50.77 over the training track. As for the 1968 Californian, trainer John Nerud had Dr. Fager flown from New York to Los Angeles two days before the May 18 race. Verifying FIRST MISSION TAKES LEXINGTON STAKES First Mission announced his candidacy for the Preakness Stakes by winning the Grade III Lexington Stakes at Keeneland last Saturday (April 15). She literally nailed the first eighth in 12 and three [seconds] and picked it up from there. Sponsorship Opportunities, Promiseher America perfect in final breeze for G1 Kentucky Oaks, Lifetime of Chance garners 87 BSF for NYSSS Times Square victory, G3 Gazelle runner-up Gambling Girl en route to Churchill Downs for G1 Kentucky Oaks; Expressman to target G3 Westchester, G1 Jaipur within realm of possibility for Nothing Better, Lord Miles registers 93 BSF for 59-1 upset score in G2 Wood Memorial. This points out horses who have shown they have the class to win a graded stakes race. Consigned by Highgate Sales, agent, he is out of Unicorn Girl, a winning daughter of A. P. Five Hundred. He is from the family of grade 1-placed National Treasure. They also incorporate how fast a track is playing that particular day by comparing performances and times under the same conditions. (154) Angel of Freedom 4. This year, there are four Exaggerators 103 in the Santa Anita Derby, Nyquists 101 in the San Vincente, Danzing Candys 100 in the San Felipe and Destins 100 in the Tampa Bay Derby. 316 miles (1, 900 m) ) on dirt. Consequently, First Mission is expected to make his next start in the Preakness on May 20. Horse Track Dist Date No. On the 50th anniversary of his Triple Crown, why Secretariat still resonates today. 90 Two Phils 8. Other acquisitions were Carmel Road, a 3-year-old grade 2-placed colt by Quality Road, for $260,000, and Naval Aviator, a 4-year-old stakes-placed Tapit colt, for $170,000. Peaceful Waters, who was consigned by Hunter Valley Farm, agent, is from the family of champion Soaring Softly, Grade 1 winner Plenty of Grace and Grade 2 winner Manitoulin. They are listed below: 1. dr katie columbus zoo. Subscribe FREE Today! When Dr. Fager was entered in the Californian, he was entered with the wrong weight, Benoit told me years later. As far as I know, the horse is fine. Nerud: Then whats the bad news? Benoit: Well, there was a mistake in the weight Dr. Fager has to carry. Nerud: Is that right?
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